Sport Picks

USA

USL First Division 2009

Cleveland

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers play Cleveland in the USL First Division 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portland Timbers averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Cleveland averaged 1 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Portland Timbers won 1, Cleveland won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 18, 2009 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Portland Timbers and 1.56 for Cleveland. This points to a Portland Timbers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Portland Timbers

24%

Draws

32%

Cleveland

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Portland Timbers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Portland Timbers picked up more points recently compared to Cleveland.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 15%

Cleveland Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portland Timbers	Cleveland
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	9	6
Draws	6	6
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	1.42	1
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2009 USL First Division

Portland Timbers vs Cleveland

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Sep 14, 2009 USL First Division

Portland Timbers vs Cleveland

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

May 9, 2009 USL First Division

Cleveland vs Portland Timbers

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 43 / 100

Cleveland 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portland Timbers Cleveland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portland Timbers or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portland Timbers attacking → ← attacking Cleveland

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Cleveland let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Portland Timbers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cleveland lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 24

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00