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Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers host Colorado Rapids in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Portland Timbers have averaged 1.96 scored and 1.81 conceded recently, against Colorado Rapids's 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor Portland Timbers slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring Colorado Rapids. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portland Timbers
30%
Draws
39%
Colorado Rapids
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colorado Rapids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colorado Rapids come out ahead of Portland Timbers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portland Timbers a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 16%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers Colorado Rapids
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.96 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers
2:0
May 29, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
2:1
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers
2:1
Aug 2, 2024 Leagues Cup
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 41 / 100
Colorado Rapids 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers Colorado Rapids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Colorado Rapids has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Portland Timbers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS Colorado Rapids
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers

(Home)
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Rapids

(Away)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)