Sport Picks
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
USA
MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
13'
13'
Velde K.
Assist: Antony
20'
20'
Miller K.
23'
23'
Sub
Kelsy K. In: Bonetig A.
Out: Kelsy K.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portland Timbers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Los Angeles Galaxy carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Portland Timbers taking it.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 18%
Los Angeles Galaxy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Timbers | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers
2:4
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1:1
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Timbers Compare
Top Goalscorer Velde K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Los Angeles Galaxy Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Klauss
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Timbers 85 / 100
Los Angeles Galaxy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Timbers Los Angeles Galaxy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Portland Timbers scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Los Angeles Galaxy let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Portland Timbers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Timbers VS Los Angeles Galaxy
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Timbers
(Home) 26 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 FC Dallas
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5 Portland Timbers
24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
17 May
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 FC Dallas
24 May
Portland Timbers
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
10 May
Portland Timbers
6 : 0 Sporting Kansas City
11 Apr
Portland Timbers
2 : 1 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
(Away) 26 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
23 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 3 St. Louis City
18 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3 Los Angeles FC
12 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0 Club America
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3 El Salvador
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
17 May
Seattle Sounders
0 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
14 May
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
09 May
Atlanta United
1 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
22 Apr
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
