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Portland United vs Weymouth

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portland United play Weymouth in the Club Friendly 2025. Weymouth are favorites here. Recently, Portland United averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3 conceded. Weymouth averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Portland United won 0, Weymouth won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2025 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Portland United and 1.30 for Weymouth. This points to a Weymouth double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Portland United
15%
Draws
64%
Weymouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland United picked up more points recently compared to Weymouth.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Portland United Clean Sheet 19%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland United Weymouth
Matches Played 5 32
Wins 1 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.53
Goals Conceded 3 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Portland United vs Weymouth
2:4
Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Portland United vs Weymouth
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Nixon R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Woolford A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Weymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist D
2 Goals
Assists Leader McCarthy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland United 23 / 100
Weymouth 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland United Weymouth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weymouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Weymouth & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portland United attacking → ← attacking Weymouth

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland United scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

Weymouth let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Portland United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Weymouth lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25