Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Meissa S.
90'
90'
Huguet Capo M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Portmany and Collerense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Collerense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Portmany carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Portmany Clean Sheet 14%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portmany | Collerense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Portmany
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Collerense
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Portmany
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Collerense
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Portmany
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portmany Compare
Top Goalscorer Meissa S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Collerense Compare
Top Goalscorer Huguet Capo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portmany 35 / 100
Collerense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portmany Collerense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Collerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Collerense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Portmany remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Collerense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Portmany VS Collerense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Portmany
(Home) 10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1 Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1 Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1 Alcudia
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1 Santanyi
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1 Alcudia
28 Mar
Portmany
0 : 2 Platges de Calvia
18 Mar
Portmany
0 : 0 Mercadal
Page 1 of 3
Collerense
(Away) 29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2 Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
02 Apr
CD Son Cladera
3 : 2 Collerense
21 Mar
Mallorca B
2 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
