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Portmany vs Collerense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Meissa S.
90' Event
Huguet Capo M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Portmany and Collerense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portmany
44%
Draws
20%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Portmany carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Portmany Clean Sheet 12%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Collerense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Portmany
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Collerense
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Portmany
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Collerense
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Portmany
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Top Goalscorer Meissa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Huguet Capo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 35 / 100
Collerense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collerense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Portmany remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Portmany's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Collerense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Collerense

(Away)
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
11 Apr
Collerense
1 : 0
Santanyi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B342662105:2284
2Manacor34245571:3977
3Pena Deportiva34208669:3068
4Constancia341951062:2962
5Llosetense341610859:4058
6Formentera341313840:2952
7Inter Ibiza341551442:4350
8Mercadal341541531:4549
9Cardassar341281438:5544
10Platges de Calvia341261641:4342
11Binissalem3410111326:3441
12Santanyi341181543:5841
13Alcudia341151837:6238
14CD Son Cladera341151841:6338
15Portmany34862025:5030
16Collerense346101841:6428
17Felanitx345111832:6226
18Rotlet Molinar34582134:6923
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)