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Portmany vs Felanitx Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Alzate S.
74' Event
Kehinde I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Portmany and Felanitx finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portmany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Portmany
20%
Draws
30%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portmany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portmany come out ahead of Felanitx on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portmany a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Portmany Clean Sheet 68%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Felanitx
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.77 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Felanitx
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Portmany
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Felanitx
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Portmany
3:4
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Felanitx
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Top Goalscorer Alzate S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kehinde I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Felanitx Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 95 / 100
Felanitx 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Felanitx has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Portmany stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Felanitx has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Felanitx
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)