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Portmany vs Platges de Calvia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portmany play Platges de Calvia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portmany averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Platges de Calvia averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Portmany won 1, Platges de Calvia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Portmany and 1.44 for Platges de Calvia. This points to a Platges de Calvia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Portmany
20%
Draws
47%
Platges de Calvia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Portmany picked up more points recently compared to Platges de Calvia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Portmany Clean Sheet 16%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Platges de Calvia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Platges de Calvia
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Portmany
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Platges de Calvia
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Portmany
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Portmany
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarmiento S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez Toni
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 33 / 100
Platges de Calvia 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Platges de Calvia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Platges de Calvia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portmany attacking → ← attacking Platges de Calvia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmany scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Platges de Calvia let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Portmany went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Platges de Calvia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 39
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mallorca B342662105:2284
2Manacor34245571:3977
3Pena Deportiva34208669:3068
4Constancia341951062:2962
5Llosetense341610859:4058
6Formentera341313840:2952
7Inter Ibiza341551442:4350
8Mercadal341541531:4549
9Cardassar341281438:5544
10Platges de Calvia341261641:4342
11Binissalem3410111326:3441
12Santanyi341181543:5841
13Alcudia341151837:6238
14CD Son Cladera341151841:6338
15Portmany34862025:5030
16Collerense346101841:6428
17Felanitx345111832:6226
18Rotlet Molinar34582134:6923