Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portmarnock vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fagan Ch.
60'
86' Event
Whelan G.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with St. Patricks advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Portmarnock
15%
Draws
76%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Patricks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives St. Patricks a 76% chance of winning this.
  • St. Patricks arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Patricks, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portmarnock Clean Sheet 22%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmarnock St. Patricks
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 0 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2017 FAI Cup
Portmarnock vs St. Patricks
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmarnock Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagan Ch.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmarnock 10 / 100
St. Patricks 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmarnock St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmarnock found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

Defensive concern: St. Patricks conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Portmarnock remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Patricks
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmarnock

(Home)
18 Nov
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 2
Portmarnock
09 Jul
Portmarnock
0 : 1
Oxford Utd
13 Aug
Portmarnock
0 : 2
St. Patricks
24 Apr
Letterkenny Rovers
2 : 1
Portmarnock
10 Apr
Portmarnock
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
Page 1 of 2

St. Patricks

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd -
Cobh Wanderers 1
Edenderry Town 0
Boyle Celtic 0
Killarney Celtic 1
Evergreen United 3
St. Marys 2
TBD -
Drogheda -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Glenville -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Portmarnock -
Killester Donnycarney 2
Ballymun Utd 1
TBD -
Galway United -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Everton AFC 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
Cherry Orchard 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Ballincollig 1
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 0
Wexford 1
Crumlin Utd 2
Cobh Wanderers 3
Killarney Celtic 0
Evergreen United 0
Drogheda 4
Bluebell Utd 3
Sheriff YC 0
UC Dublin 1
Cabinteely 3
Shelbourne 3
Waterford 0
Glenville 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 3
Finn Harps 4
St. Patricks 2
Portmarnock 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Galway United 4
Longford 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Everton AFC 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone 5
Ballincollig 0
Bray 0
Cork City 1
1/8-finals
Dundalk 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Cobh Wanderers 1
Drogheda 5
Bluebell Utd 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 1
Finn Harps 0
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 2
Longford 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Athlone 0
Cork City 7
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Limerick 2
Galway United 1
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Semi-finals
Dundalk 5
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 0
Cork City 1
Final
Dundalk 1
Cork City 2