Sport Picks
Portmore vs Montego Bay
Jamaica
Premier League 2025/2026 Ferdi Neita Sports Complex, Portmore 
Match Events
9'
9'
Arbourine K.
49'
49'
Young S.
51'
51'
Jones O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portmore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Montego Bay at 1.93 per game, Portmore at 1.63.
- Win probability leans Portmore's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portmore Clean Sheet 68%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portmore | Montego Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Montego Bay
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Portmore
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Montego Bay
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Portmore
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Montego Bay
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portmore Compare
Top Goalscorer McGregor P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Montego Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Arbourine K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jones O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portmore 50 / 100
Montego Bay 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portmore Montego Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portmore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Portmore scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Portmore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Montego Bay has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Portmore VS Montego Bay
2.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Portmore
(Home) 17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2 Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1 Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2 Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2 Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3 Portmore
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1 Mount Pleasant
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2 Salcedo
18 May
Portmore
0 : 1 Mount Pleasant
14 May
Portmore
2 : 0 Racing United
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0 Tivoli
Page 1 of 3
Montego Bay
(Away) 20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0 Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0 Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3 Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1 Montego Bay
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1 Montego Bay
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1 Montego Bay
26 Apr
Harbour View
4 : 3 Montego Bay
16 Apr
Arnett Gardens
1 : 0 Montego Bay
05 Apr
Portmore
2 : 2 Montego Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mount Pleasant | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Montego Bay | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 79:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Portmore | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 54:35 | 66 |
| 4 | Waterhouse | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 51:32 | 65 |
| 5 | Cavalier | 39 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 57:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Racing United | 39 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 53:34 | 60 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 68:46 | 58 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 39 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 42:57 | 49 |
| 9 | FC Dunbeholden | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 40:53 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 37:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 43:59 | 43 |
| 12 | Molynes United | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 45:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 53:73 | 39 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 39 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 25:111 | 26 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
