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Portmore vs Tivoli

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Ferdi Neita Sports Complex, Portmore
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Watson O.
27' Event
Bell M.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Reid M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Portmore and Tivoli finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portmore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Portmore
15%
Draws
21%
Tivoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portmore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portmore come out ahead of Tivoli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portmore a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Portmore Clean Sheet 68%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Tivoli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Tivoli
3:0
Jan 5, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Portmore
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Tivoli
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Tivoli
1:1
Jan 6, 2025 Premier League
Tivoli vs Portmore
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Tivoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 95 / 100
Tivoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Tivoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tivoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Portmore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Tivoli
1.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
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Tivoli

(Away)
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2
Cavalier
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
27 Apr
Molynes United
2 : 0
Tivoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)