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Portmore vs Treasure Beach

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Ferdi Neita Sports Complex, Portmore
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cohen D.
75' Event
Chambers A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Portmore and Treasure Beach finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portmore
15%
Draws
49%
Treasure Beach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treasure Beach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portmore come out ahead of Treasure Beach on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Portmore Clean Sheet 20%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Treasure Beach
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Portmore
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Treasure Beach
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Portmore
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Portmore
1:3
Nov 5, 2023 Premier League
Portmore vs Treasure Beach
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 36 / 100
Treasure Beach 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Treasure Beach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treasure Beach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Treasure Beach conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Portmore stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Treasure Beach
1.63 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
20 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 4
Portmore
18 May
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
14 May
Portmore
2 : 0
Racing United
Page 1 of 7

Treasure Beach

(Away)
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
24 Apr
Waterhouse
1 : 2
Treasure Beach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)