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Portmore vs Violette - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup Ferdi Neita Sports Complex, Portmore
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Caribbean Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Portmore at 1.67 goals for, 1.22 against; Violette at 1.57 for, 0.96 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.39) point toward Violette. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Portmore
15%
Draws
51%
Violette
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Violette

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Violette have won more games recently than Portmore.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Violette arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Portmore Clean Sheet 17%
Violette Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Violette
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 31 / 100
Violette 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Violette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Violette Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Portmore stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Violette let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Violette
2.13 Goals Scored 1.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.2
88% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
06 Oct
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Portmore
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
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Violette

(Away)
15 Sept
Violette
1 : 0
Sando
09 Sept
Broki
1 : 2
Violette
19 Aug
Delfines Del Este
0 : 1
Violette
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Violette -
Portmore -
Mount Pleasant -
Sando -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -