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Porto-BA vs Jacobinense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Baratinha
42' Event
Luan Rodrigues

AI Match Summary

Porto-BA in this Baiano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto-BA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Porto-BA
20%
Draws
40%
Jacobinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porto-BA lately — more wins on the board than Jacobinense.
  • Win probability leans Porto-BA's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Porto-BA Clean Sheet 20%
Jacobinense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA Jacobinense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Baiano 2
Porto-BA vs Jacobinense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto-BA Compare

Top Goalscorer Baratinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Rodrigues
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jacobinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA 67 / 100
Jacobinense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA Jacobinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto-BA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobinense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Jacobinense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Porto-BA scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto-BA

(Home)
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1
Porto-BA
16 May
Porto-BA
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
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Jacobinense

(Away)
14 Jul
Porto-BA
2 : 0
Jacobinense
07 Jul
Jacobinense
1 : 3
Galicia
03 Jul
Grapiuna
4 : 1
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Jacobinense
1 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
25 Jun
SSA
4 : 1
Jacobinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 7 1 1 10:2 22
2 Grapiuna 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
3 Colo Colo 9 4 5 0 11:4 17
4 Porto-BA 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
5 SSA 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
7 Galicia 9 1 5 3 5:7 8
8 Leonico 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
9 Feirense 9 1 3 5 7:16 6
10 Jacobinense 9 0 2 7 5:21 2
Promotion - Baiano 2 2024 (Play Offs)