Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto-BA vs Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos, Porto Seguro
Porto-BA Logo

Porto-BA

1 - 1
FT
Vitoria Logo

Vitoria

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Pablo
26'
Diogo Antonio
38' Event
Pablo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Porto-BA
20%
Draws
64%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Porto-BA.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Porto-BA Clean Sheet 23%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA Vitoria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Baiano
Porto-BA vs Vitoria
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Baiano
Vitoria vs Porto-BA
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto-BA Compare

Top Goalscorer Italo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA 37 / 100
Vitoria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto-BA's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vitoria let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Vitoria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA VS Vitoria
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto-BA

(Home)
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1
Porto-BA
16 May
Porto-BA
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)