Sport Picks
Porto D'Ascoli vs Montegiorgio
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Porto D'Ascoli lately — more wins on the board than Montegiorgio.
- Model gives Porto D'Ascoli a 35% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto D'Ascoli | Montegiorgio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Montegiorgio
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Montegiorgio
3:1
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Porto D'Ascoli
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto D'Ascoli 59 / 100
Montegiorgio 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto D'Ascoli Montegiorgio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto D'Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Montegiorgio conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Porto D'Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Montegiorgio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Porto D'Ascoli VS Montegiorgio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto D'Ascoli
(Home) 07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1 Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2 Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
02 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Calcio Chieti
11 Mar
Porto D'Ascoli
0 : 0 Montegiorgio
26 Feb
Porto D'Ascoli
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 3
Montegiorgio
(Away) 14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
02 Apr
Vastese
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
11 Mar
Porto D'Ascoli
0 : 0 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
