Sport Picks
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Recanatese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 
Match Events
7'
7'
Sbaffo A.
15'
15'
Togola M.
29'
29'
Liguori M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Porto Sant'Elpidio and Recanatese finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recanatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Recanatese come out ahead of Porto Sant'Elpidio on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Porto Sant'Elpidio's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Recanatese here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 20%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto Sant'Elpidio | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 23 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Recanatese
1:3
Oct 18, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
3:0
Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Recanatese
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Recanatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Sbaffo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Togola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto Sant'Elpidio 40 / 100
Recanatese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto Sant'Elpidio Recanatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Recanatese conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
Porto Sant'Elpidio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Porto Sant'Elpidio scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Recanatese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto Sant'Elpidio
(Home) 19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6
19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
26 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 1 Roma City
23 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
0 : 1 Matese
12 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
1 : 3 FC Rieti
Page 1 of 3
Recanatese
(Away) 27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1 Recanatese
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0 Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1 Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1 Recanatese
06 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0 Pietralunga
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1 Recanatese
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1 Recanatese
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2 Recanatese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
29 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
