Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto Velho vs SC Humaita

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porto Velho play SC Humaita in the Serie D. Porto Velho are favorites here. Recently, Porto Velho averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. SC Humaita averaged 1 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. In past meetings, Porto Velho won 5, SC Humaita won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 13:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.23 for Porto Velho and 0.71 for SC Humaita. This points to a Porto Velho double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Porto Velho
15%
Draws
16%
SC Humaita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto Velho picked up more points recently compared to SC Humaita.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.23 vs 0.71 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 27%
SC Humaita Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho SC Humaita
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.21 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 5.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Serie D
Porto Velho vs SC Humaita
13:0
Apr 5, 2026 Serie D
SC Humaita vs Porto Velho
1:5
Jan 22, 2025 Copa Verde
Porto Velho vs SC Humaita
3:2
Jul 20, 2024 Serie D
Porto Velho vs SC Humaita
3:0
May 1, 2024 Serie D
SC Humaita vs Porto Velho
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan Costa
4 Goals
Assists Leader Kadu Barone
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SC Humaita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho 68 / 100
SC Humaita 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho SC Humaita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Porto Velho & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Porto Velho attacking → ← attacking SC Humaita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

SC Humaita let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Porto Velho went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SC Humaita lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 20
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.29
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.57

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manauara1064013:522
2Nacional-AM (Manaus)1062215:920
3Sao Raimundo RR1034310:713
4Monte Roraima1024411:1410
5Manaus FC102448:1310
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio101278:175
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guapore1064019:922
2Porto Velho1053233:918
3Araguaina1053231:918
4Independencia Futebol Clube1043317:1015
5Galvez1031614:3110
6SC Humaita1000104:500
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gama1082023:626
2Luverdense1043311:1015
3Brasiliense1035211:1014
4Aparecidense1034313:1213
5Primavera AC1033410:1312
6Inhumas100193:201
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capital1072116:623
2Goiatuba EC1054113:719
3Ceilandia103349:1012
4Mixto1026210:912
5Uniao Rondonopolis1023511:189
6Operario VG101277:165
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trem1062219:1320
2Aguia De Maraba1053220:1118
3Imperatriz1043315:1015
4Tuna Luso1034314:1713
5Tocantinopolis1033418:1812
6Oratorio1011812:294
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iguatu1055014:720
2Maracana1054112:619
3Parnahyba1042411:1314
4Sampaio Correa1034312:613
5Moto Club102358:159
6IAPE1004610:204
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviario1063115:721
2Piaui1052314:1117
3Fluminense-PI1035212:914
4AE Altos103259:1511
5Tirol1024410:1010
6Atletico Cearense101456:147
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ABC1072115:623
2America RN1063114:321
3Maguary103438:513
4Central SC103438:713
5Sousa103164:1110
6Laguna RN100283:202
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Treze PB1052318:1417
2Sergipe1043315:1315
3Serra Branca1036112:815
4Lagarto1034314:1513
5Retro1033413:1512
6Decisao1022610:178
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSA1063125:821
2Juazeirense1052312:917
3ASA1044211:716
4Jacuipense1034312:1413
5Clube Sociedade Esportiva1023510:179
6Alagoinhas101275:205
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uberlandia1053212:818
2Betim FC1043312:915
3CRAC103437:713
4Ivinhema103439:1213
5ABECAT Ouvidorense103348:912
6Operario MS102359:129
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Democrata GV1052313:917
2Tombense1045113:617
3Vitoria ES1043312:815
4Rio Branco ES1034314:1213
5Porto-BA103169:2110
6Real Noroeste101546:118
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portuguesa1063116:621
2Agua Santa1052316:817
3Portuguesa RJ1035214:914
4America RJ1033411:2112
5Madureira1032511:1611
6Pouso Alegre102176:147
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Piracicaba1045114:917
2Noroeste1043312:715
3Velo Clube1034310:1013
4Sampaio Correa FE103348:1012
5Nova Iguacu103347:1012
6Marica103259:1411
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santa Catarina1061315:919
2Cianorte105149:816
3FC Cascavel104339:415
4Sao Luiz1043311:915
5Joinville1043310:815
6Guarany de Bage101182:184
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blumenau1061314:819
2Marcilio Dias104429:516
3Sao Joseense103433:413
4EC Sao Jose (PA)103436:813
5Brasil de Pelotas102449:1210
6Azuriz102357:119