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Porto Velho W vs A. Acreano W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porto Velho W play A. Acreano W in the Brasileiro A3 Women 2024. Porto Velho W are favorites here. Recently, Porto Velho W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. A. Acreano W averaged 0.71 goals scored and 5 conceded. In past meetings, Porto Velho W won 2, A. Acreano W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.50 for Porto Velho W and 1.19 for A. Acreano W. This points to a Porto Velho W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
Porto Velho W
15%
Draws
13%
A. Acreano W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Velho W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto Velho W picked up more points recently compared to A. Acreano W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Porto Velho W Clean Sheet 20%
A. Acreano W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho W A. Acreano W
Matches Played 6 7
Wins 2 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.67 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2024 Brasileiro A3 Women
A. Acreano W vs Porto Velho W
0:2
Apr 15, 2024 Brasileiro A3 Women
Porto Velho W vs A. Acreano W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Velho W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monique
3 Goals
Assists Leader Flavinha
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

A. Acreano W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho W 69 / 100
A. Acreano W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho W A. Acreano W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Porto Velho W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Porto Velho W attacking → ← attacking A. Acreano W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho W scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

A. Acreano W let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Porto Velho W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

A. Acreano W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 0
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.71
1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00