Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto Vitoria vs Vitoria ES

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica
Porto Vitoria Logo

Porto Vitoria

0 - 4
FT
Vitoria ES Logo

Vitoria ES

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Thiago Magatao
37' Event
Joao Paulo
40'
Gualberto
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Porto Vitoria
30%
Draws
33%
Vitoria ES
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Porto Vitoria haven't matched Vitoria ES's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Porto Vitoria a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Vitoria ES arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria ES, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Vitoria Vitoria ES
Matches Played 35 41
Wins 15 21
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Vitoria ES
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Porto Vitoria
1:6
Mar 8, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Vitoria ES
0:4
Jan 17, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Porto Vitoria
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Porto Vitoria
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vitoria ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thiago Magatao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Vitoria 95 / 100
Vitoria ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Vitoria Vitoria ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Porto Vitoria scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Porto Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vitoria ES let in goals in 59% of their last 41 matches.

Scoring Trends

Porto Vitoria VS Vitoria ES
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Vitoria

(Home)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
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Vitoria ES

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rio Branco ES 1
Porto Vitoria 2
Vitoria ES 5
Forte 2
Vilavelhense 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
Serra 2
Real Noroeste 2
Semi-finals
Porto Vitoria 6
Vitoria ES 5
Vilavelhense 1
Serra 3
Final
Porto Vitoria 4
Serra 3