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Portogruaro vs Cartigliano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Scapin T.
40' Event
Scapin T.
67' Event
Barzon L.

AI Match Summary

Portogruaro host Cartigliano in the Serie D - Group C 2022/2023. Cartigliano are expected to control this from the start. Portogruaro have averaged 0.25 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Cartigliano's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Cartigliano slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2023, ending 0:4. xG projections (0.72 - 1.69) back Cartigliano to edge this. Cartigliano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Portogruaro
6%
Draws
90%
Cartigliano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartigliano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Portogruaro.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cartigliano.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 13%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portogruaro Cartigliano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 5 12
Losses 26 8
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Cartigliano
0:4
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Portogruaro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Cartigliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Scapin T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barzon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 10 / 100
Cartigliano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portogruaro Cartigliano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Cartigliano let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Portogruaro went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cartigliano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portogruaro VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legnago Salus34179848:2660
2Clodiense341513646:3158
3Adriese341414654:3856
4Campodarsego341412850:4054
5Luparense FC341314749:3453
6Virtus Bolzano341314753:4353
7Este3413111047:3950
8Cjarlins Muzane341115838:3648
9Caldiero Terme3412121042:4148
10Cartigliano3411131047:5046
11Mestre341271546:4243
12Dolomiti Bellunesi3411101342:4743
13Montecchio Maggiore341091550:5539
14Torviscosa348121431:4636
15Portogruaro34981736:5635
16Villafranca348101635:4634
17Montebelluna34871935:6131
18Levico Terme345141523:4129