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Portogruaro vs Cartigliano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Scapin T.
40' Event
Scapin T.
67' Event
Barzon L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 game between Portogruaro and Cartigliano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartigliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Portogruaro
20%
Draws
80%
Cartigliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartigliano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cartigliano a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 13%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portogruaro Cartigliano
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 29 8
Goals Scored 0.74 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Cartigliano
0:4
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Portogruaro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Cartigliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Scapin T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barzon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 10 / 100
Cartigliano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portogruaro Cartigliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartigliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartigliano has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Portogruaro found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (42 games).

Away concern: Cartigliano has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portogruaro VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portogruaro

(Home)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 9

Cartigliano

(Away)
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1
Torviscosa
30 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 0
Cartigliano
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2
Adriese
16 Apr
Villafranca
1 : 1
Cartigliano
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)