Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portogruaro vs Cjarlins Muzane

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portogruaro play Cjarlins Muzane in the Serie D - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portogruaro averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Cjarlins Muzane averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Portogruaro won 0, Cjarlins Muzane won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Portogruaro and 2.00 for Cjarlins Muzane. This points to a Cjarlins Muzane double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Portogruaro
35%
Draws
52%
Cjarlins Muzane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cjarlins Muzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Portogruaro picked up more points recently compared to Cjarlins Muzane.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portogruaro Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Cjarlins Muzane
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Portogruaro
2:1
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Portogruaro
3:3
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Cjarlins Muzane
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Cjarlins Muzane
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portogruaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosentino S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Glamocanin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simeoni N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 14 / 100
Cjarlins Muzane 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portogruaro Cjarlins Muzane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cjarlins Muzane or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portogruaro attacking → ← attacking Cjarlins Muzane

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Cjarlins Muzane let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Portogruaro went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cjarlins Muzane lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 36
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111