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Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mendez I.
72' Event
Durojaiye A.
73' Event
Vicente

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Portonovo SD and Arenteiro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portonovo SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portonovo SD
20%
Draws
40%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Arenteiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Arenteiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.62 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Arenteiro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portonovo SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vicente
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arenteiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Durojaiye A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 36 / 100
Arenteiro 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenteiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenteiro has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arenteiro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Portonovo SD scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Arenteiro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
08 May
SD Negreira
6 : 1
Portonovo SD
Page 1 of 6

Arenteiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Racing Club Villalbes 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Sarriana 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
4 Barco 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Lalin 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Alondras 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
7 Atletico Arteixo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Pontevedra B 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
9 Estradense 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Portonovo SD 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Gran Pena 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Silva SD 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Antela 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
14 Arenteiro 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Somozas 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Celtiga 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
17 Montaneros 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
18 Viveiro 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)