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Portonovo SD vs Lalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Rodriguez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Portonovo SD and Lalin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portonovo SD
15%
Draws
45%
Lalin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Portonovo SD haven't matched Lalin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portonovo SD's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lalin have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Lalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Lalin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Lalin
0:1
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs Portonovo SD
2:0
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Lalin
0:1
Feb 3, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs Portonovo SD
0:0
Sep 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Lalin
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portonovo SD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 36 / 100
Lalin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Lalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lalin has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Portonovo SD stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Portonovo SD scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Lalin
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
43% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
10 Oct
Pontevedra B
0 : 1
Portonovo SD
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
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Lalin

(Away)
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Portonovo SD 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
4 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
5 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
6 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
7 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
8 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
9 Pontevedra B 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Somozas 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
13 Atletico Arteixo 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
14 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)