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Portonovo SD vs Silva SD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Portonovo SD and Silva SD finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portonovo SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Portonovo SD
30%
Draws
29%
Silva SD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portonovo SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Silva SD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Portonovo SD's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Silva SD
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.76 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.39 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Silva SD
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 40 / 100
Silva SD 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Silva SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Silva SD let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Portonovo SD remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Portonovo SD found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Silva SD
1.4 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
Page 1 of 6

Silva SD

(Away)
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
19 Sept
Silva SD
0 : 2
CD Boiro
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Sarriana 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Alondras 4 3 0 1 10:8 9
4 Racing Club Villalbes 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Pontevedra B 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
6 Portonovo SD 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
7 Barco 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 Lalin 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
9 Antela 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
10 Atletico Arteixo 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
11 Celtiga 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
12 Gran Pena 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
13 Estradense 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
14 Silva SD 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Arenteiro 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
16 Viveiro 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
17 Somozas 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
18 Montaneros 4 0 0 4 6:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)