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Portsmouth U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portsmouth U23 play Sheffield Utd U23 in the Premier League Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portsmouth U23 averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Sheffield Utd U23 averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Portsmouth U23 won 1, Sheffield Utd U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2017 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Portsmouth U23 and 1.36 for Sheffield Utd U23. This points to a Sheffield Utd U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Portsmouth U23
16%
Draws
43%
Sheffield Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Sheffield Utd U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Portsmouth U23 picked up more points recently compared to Sheffield Utd U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Portsmouth U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Sheffield Utd U23 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth U23 Sheffield Utd U23
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2017 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portsmouth U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabamba N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sheffield Utd U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth U23 41 / 100
Sheffield Utd U23 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth U23 Sheffield Utd U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sheffield Utd U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portsmouth U23 attacking → ← attacking Sheffield Utd U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portsmouth U23 scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Sheffield Utd U23 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Portsmouth U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sheffield Utd U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38