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Portsmouth vs Blackburn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Swanson Z.
11' Event
Afolayan O.
Assist: Pickering H.
40'
Pack M.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Portsmouth and Blackburn finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Portsmouth
30%
Draws
41%
Blackburn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blackburn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Blackburn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portsmouth are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 68%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth Blackburn
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Portsmouth vs Blackburn
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 Championship
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Blackburn
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Blackburn
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Championship
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portsmouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Swanson Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bishop C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Blackburn Compare

Top Goalscorer Afolayan O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morishita R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth 50 / 100
Blackburn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth Blackburn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portsmouth found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Blackburn conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Portsmouth remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth VS Blackburn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth

(Home)
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2
Derby
29 Aug
Bristol City
2 : 1
Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6

Blackburn

(Away)
10 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 1
Cardiff
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 17:12 18
3 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
4 Stoke City 9 5 1 3 15:13 16
5 Wolves 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
6 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
7 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13:11 14
8 Millwall 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
9 West Brom 9 4 2 3 10:9 14
10 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12:13 14
11 Charlton 9 3 4 2 8:11 13
12 Blackburn 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
13 Sheffield Utd 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
14 Wrexham 9 2 5 2 10:13 11
15 Lincoln City 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
16 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
17 Bolton 9 3 1 5 12:17 10
18 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17:19 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Cardiff 9 1 4 4 11:14 7
22 Burnley 9 1 4 4 13:17 7
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8:15 6
24 Preston 9 1 1 7 8:16 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)