Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portsmouth vs Cardiff

England England

Championship Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Bielik K.
31' Event
Shaughnessy C.
Assist: Shade T.
52' Event
Milovanovic M.
Assist: Segecic A.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Portsmouth and Cardiff finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portsmouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Portsmouth
30%
Draws
31%
Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portsmouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff come out ahead of Portsmouth on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Portsmouth's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 16%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth Cardiff
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Portsmouth vs Cardiff
2:0
Feb 11, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Cardiff
2:1
Oct 22, 2024 Championship
Cardiff vs Portsmouth
2:0
Aug 9, 2022 EFL Cup
Cardiff vs Portsmouth
0:3
Aug 8, 2017 EFL Cup
Cardiff vs Portsmouth
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portsmouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaughnessy C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milovanovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cardiff Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth 48 / 100
Cardiff 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Portsmouth's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Portsmouth has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth VS Cardiff
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth

(Home)
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2
Derby
29 Aug
Bristol City
2 : 1
Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff

(Away)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1
Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)