Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portsmouth vs Stoke City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portsmouth host Stoke City in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Portsmouth have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Stoke City's 1.22 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Stoke City slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back Portsmouth to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portsmouth
20%
Draws
40%
Stoke City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Portsmouth's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Stoke City have produced (1.22).
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Portsmouth taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 20%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth Stoke City
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Stoke City vs Portsmouth
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Stoke City
0:1
Jan 22, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Stoke City
3:1
Oct 2, 2024 Championship
Stoke City vs Portsmouth
6:1
Aug 27, 2014 EFL Cup
Stoke City vs Portsmouth
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth 40 / 100
Stoke City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth Stoke City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portsmouth found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Stoke City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Portsmouth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth VS Stoke City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth

(Home)
24 Oct
Portsmouth
2 : 1
Millwall
20 Oct
Wolves
1 : 1
Portsmouth
17 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1
Portsmouth
14 Oct
Portsmouth
3 : 2
Sheffield Utd
11 Oct
Southampton
1 : 0
Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City

(Away)
24 Oct
Stoke City
0 : 0
Bristol City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1
Stoke City
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3
Middlesbrough
10 Oct
Bolton
1 : 2
Stoke City
19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1
Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 27:17 25
2 Swansea 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
3 West Ham 12 6 4 2 32:15 22
4 Wolves 12 6 3 3 20:16 21
5 West Brom 12 6 3 3 16:13 21
6 Southampton 12 7 3 2 24:12 20
7 Birmingham 12 5 5 2 20:12 20
8 QPR 12 5 5 2 20:12 20
9 Stoke City 12 6 2 4 18:16 20
10 Sheffield Utd 13 5 4 4 17:15 19
11 Blackburn 12 5 3 4 19:16 18
12 Portsmouth 12 5 3 4 16:15 18
13 Millwall 12 4 3 5 19:20 15
14 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 12:15 15
15 Lincoln City 12 4 3 5 13:20 15
16 Cardiff 12 3 5 4 19:17 14
17 Wrexham 13 3 5 5 15:19 14
18 Bolton 12 4 2 6 16:23 14
19 Charlton 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
20 Norwich 12 4 0 8 20:22 12
21 Watford 12 3 2 7 10:20 11
22 Burnley 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
23 Derby 12 1 4 7 10:21 7
24 Preston 12 1 2 9 10:25 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)