Sport Picks
Portsmouth vs Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Fratton Park, Portsmouth 
Match Events
21'
21'
Adams E.
24'
24'
Sub
Welsh S. In: Cabango B.
Out: Welsh S.
36'
36'
Devlin T.
Assist: Bailey O.
AI Match Summary
Portsmouth in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portsmouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portsmouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Swansea lately — more wins on the board than Portsmouth.
- Model gives Portsmouth a 52% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 68%
Swansea Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portsmouth | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Championship
Portsmouth vs Swansea
3:1
Mar 10, 2026 Championship
Portsmouth vs Swansea
1:2
Dec 9, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Portsmouth
1:0
Jan 1, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Swansea
4:0
Nov 30, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Portsmouth
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portsmouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Devlin T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Waddingham T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Swansea Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portsmouth 95 / 100
Swansea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portsmouth Swansea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portsmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portsmouth's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Portsmouth has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Swansea conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Portsmouth VS Swansea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portsmouth
(Home) 03 Nov
Portsmouth
3 : 1 Swansea
31 Oct
Burnley
0 : 0 Portsmouth
24 Oct
Portsmouth
2 : 1 Millwall
20 Oct
Wolves
1 : 1 Portsmouth
17 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1 Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Portsmouth
3 : 1 Swansea
24 Oct
Portsmouth
2 : 1 Millwall
14 Oct
Portsmouth
3 : 2 Sheffield Utd
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2 Blackburn
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0 Cardiff
Page 1 of 3
Swansea
(Away) 03 Nov
Portsmouth
3 : 1 Swansea
31 Oct
Swansea
4 : 0 Blackburn
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0 Swansea
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1 West Ham
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1 Swansea
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Portsmouth
3 : 1 Swansea
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0 Swansea
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1 Swansea
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
