Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portsmouth vs Swansea

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Fratton Park
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Galbraith E.
Assist: Tymon J.
33'
Vipotnik Z.
39' Event
Key J.
Assist: Ronald

AI Match Summary

Portsmouth host Swansea in the Championship 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Portsmouth at 1.5 goals for, 1.25 against; Swansea at 1.63 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Portsmouth have won 1 to Swansea's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.44) back Swansea to edge this. Swansea in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Portsmouth
33%
Draws
40%
Swansea
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Swansea has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Portsmouth.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Swansea.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Championship 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 16%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth Swansea
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Championship
Portsmouth vs Swansea
1:2
Dec 9, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Portsmouth
1:0
Jan 1, 2025 Championship
Portsmouth vs Swansea
4:0
Nov 30, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Portsmouth
2:2
Apr 23, 2011 Championship
Portsmouth vs Swansea
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portsmouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Galbraith E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Key J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth 28 / 100
Swansea 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth Swansea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portsmouth scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Swansea let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Portsmouth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Swansea lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth VS Swansea
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890