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Portsmouth W vs Cheltenham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Women’s FA Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Portsmouth W at 2.17 goals for, 1.52 against; Cheltenham W at 1.69 for, 2.11 against. Head-to-head, Portsmouth W have won 5 to Cheltenham W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2026, ending 6:3. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.56, favoring Portsmouth W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Portsmouth W
35%
Draws
20%
Cheltenham W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portsmouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portsmouth W come out ahead of Cheltenham W on wins alone.
  • Portsmouth W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Portsmouth W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portsmouth W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portsmouth W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 15%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth W Cheltenham W
Matches Played 40 36
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Women's National League South
Portsmouth W vs Cheltenham W
6:3
Apr 21, 2024 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Portsmouth W
2:3
Aug 20, 2023 Women's National League South
Portsmouth W vs Cheltenham W
5:0
Apr 9, 2023 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Portsmouth W
0:3
Feb 19, 2023 Women's National League South
Portsmouth W vs Cheltenham W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth W 84 / 100
Cheltenham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth W Cheltenham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cheltenham W conceded in 81% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Portsmouth W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Portsmouth W scored in 70% of their last 40 games.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth W VS Cheltenham W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth W

(Home)
18 Oct
Portsmouth W
6 : 3
Cheltenham W
11 Oct
Hashtag W
0 : 0
Portsmouth W
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2
Portsmouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4
Portsmouth W
Page 1 of 8

Cheltenham W

(Away)
18 Oct
Portsmouth W
6 : 3
Cheltenham W
11 Oct
Cheltenham W
4 : 1
Plymouth W
04 Oct
Cheltenham W
2 : 2
Hashtag W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Leeds Modernians W -
Liverpool Feds W -
Norton & Stockton W -
AFC Fylde W -
Grimsby W -
Stockport W -
Workington W -
Mancunian Unity W -
Durham Cestria W -
Hull City W -
Harrogate W -
Bolton W -
Wigan W -
Chester-Le-Street Town W -
Lincoln W -
Halifax W -
Thornaby W -
Chorley W -
Preston W -
International Soccer Academy W -
Huddersfield W -
Middlesbrough W -
South Shields W -
SJR Worksop W -
Leeds W -
Rotherham W -
Kidderminster W -
Wroxham W -
Sutton Coldfield Town W -
Derby W -
Northampton W -
Stoke City LFC W -
Lye Town W -
Peterborough W -
West Brom W -
Notts County W -
Port Vale W -
Boldmere St Michaels W -
Luton W -
Cambridge Utd W -
Leafield Athletic W -
Mansfield W -
Norwich W -
Redditch Borough FC W -
Royston Town W -
Crewe W -
Milton Keynes Dons W -
Nantwich W -
Harpenden Town W -
Chesterfield W -
Rugby Borough W -
Sporting Khalsa W -
Real Bedford W -
Dussindale & Hellesdon W -
Nottingham Trent W -
Loughborough Lightning W -
Actonians W -
Marine Academy Plymouth W -
Portsmouth W -
Cheltenham W -
QPR W -
Lewes W -
St Agnes AFC W -
Portishead Town W -
Barking W -
Bromley W -
Gwalia United W -
Yate W -
Haringey Borough W -
Dulwich Hamlet W -
Abingdon W -
Bristol Rovers W -
Brentford W -
Dartford W -
Plymouth W -
Millwall W -
Exeter W -
Hashtag W -
Bournemouth W -
Feniton W -
Moneyfields W -
Saltdean United W -
Tooting Bec W -
Chatham W -
Swindon W -
Bridgwater United W -
Hammersmith W -
AFC Wimbledon W -
Fulham W -
Enfield Town W -
Winchester City W -
Keynsham Town W -
Maidenhead W -
Andover New Street W -
Portchester W -
Oxford Utd W -
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Final
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