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Portsmouth W vs Swindon W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Women's National League South
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AI Match Summary

Portsmouth W in this Women's National League South matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portsmouth W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Portsmouth W
20%
Draws
7%
Swindon W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portsmouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Portsmouth W have won more games recently than Swindon W.
  • Model gives Portsmouth W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portsmouth W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 20%
Swindon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth W Swindon W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.4 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.87 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Women's National League South
Portsmouth W vs Swindon W
4:0
Apr 8, 2018 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Portsmouth W
0:3
Apr 1, 2018 Women's National League South
Portsmouth W vs Swindon W
5:0
Nov 13, 2016 Women's National League South
Portsmouth W vs Swindon W
5:0
Sep 11, 2016 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Portsmouth W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth W 85 / 100
Swindon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth W Swindon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swindon W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Portsmouth W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Portsmouth W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth W VS Swindon W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth W

(Home)
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2
Portsmouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4
Portsmouth W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Swindon W
16 Aug
Fulham W
1 : 0
Portsmouth W
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Swindon W

(Away)
04 Oct
Swindon W
0 : 0
AFC Wimbledon W
20 Sept
Hashtag W
4 : 0
Swindon W
13 Sept
Swindon W
1 : 2
Fulham W
30 Aug
Real Bedford W
2 : 1
Swindon W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Swindon W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
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