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Portstewart vs Coleraine

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coleraine is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Portstewart, backed by a win probability of 76%. Portstewart averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.9 conceded in recent matches. Coleraine shows a form average of 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Portstewart, 5 wins for Coleraine, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 02.08.25 ended in a 0:9 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Portstewart and 1.36 for Coleraine, suggesting the primary value lies in the Coleraine double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Portstewart
15%
Draws
76%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portstewart picked up more points recently compared to Coleraine.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Portstewart Clean Sheet 18%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portstewart Coleraine
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 23
Draws 2 3
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 0.93 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.93 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

02.08.25 Club Friendly
Portstewart vs Coleraine
0:9
26.07.24 Club Friendly
Portstewart vs Coleraine
0:1
28.07.23 Club Friendly
Portstewart vs Coleraine
1:5
29.07.22 Club Friendly
Portstewart vs Coleraine
1:4
19.06.21 Club Friendly
Portstewart vs Coleraine
0:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Portstewart

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Coleraine

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portstewart Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brennan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portstewart 12 / 100
Coleraine 71 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portstewart Coleraine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Coleraine & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Coleraine will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Portstewart 10%
Coleraine 61%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Portstewart will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Coleraine's early runs.

Portstewart 9%
Coleraine 80%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Coleraine to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Portstewart tries to push forward.

Portstewart 9%
Coleraine 76%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Coleraine increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Portstewart 9%
Coleraine 72%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Portstewart's defense, opening up opportunities for Coleraine's forward line.

Portstewart 8%
Coleraine 84%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Coleraine to manage the closing stages, while Portstewart searches for late drama.

Portstewart 10%
Coleraine 87%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portstewart attacking → ← attacking Coleraine

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portstewart have found the net in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Coleraine have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.60 goals per match.

Portstewart remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Coleraine suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Friendly match context where both Portstewart and Coleraine will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 72
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88