Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portstewart vs Rathfriland Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2023/2024
Tue, Aug 29, 2023
2 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Bradley J.
88' Event
Fitzpatrick R.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Irish League Cup 2023/2024 game between Portstewart and Rathfriland Rangers finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portstewart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Portstewart
6%
Draws
90%
Rathfriland Rangers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rathfriland Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rathfriland Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Portstewart Clean Sheet 10%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portstewart Rathfriland Rangers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 15
Draws 2 0
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2023 Irish League Cup
Portstewart vs Rathfriland Rangers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portstewart Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rathfriland Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzpatrick R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portstewart 10 / 100
Rathfriland Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portstewart Rathfriland Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rathfriland Rangers conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Portstewart found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Rathfriland Rangers registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portstewart VS Rathfriland Rangers
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena-
TBD-
Ballymacash1
Lisburn Distillery4
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Limavady6
Tobermore1
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Portadown-
TBD-
Banbridge0
Coagh Utd1
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
Annagh-
TBD-
Portstewart2
Rathfriland Rangers1
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
Moyola1
PSNI0
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Larne-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
Dollingstown2
Armagh1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
1/16-finals
Ballymena4
Lisburn Distillery0
Coleraine2
Bangor FC1
Limavady2
Dundela0
Glenavon2
Dergview1
Portadown4
Coagh Utd1
Warrenpoint0
Crusaders5
Annagh4
Portstewart1
Loughgall3
Ballyclare2
Dungannon3
Newington FC1
Cliftonville3
Institute0
Carrick Rangers4
Moyola1
Harland & Wolff1
Newry City2
Ballinamallard1
Ards5
Larne9
Knockbreda1
Dollingstown0
Glentoran2
Linfield3
Queens University1
1/8-finals
Ballymena1
Coleraine2
Limavady0
Glenavon1
Portadown2
Crusaders1
Annagh0
Loughgall1
Dungannon1
Cliftonville0
Carrick Rangers2
Newry City3
Ards3
Larne5
Glentoran1
Linfield2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine2
Glenavon3
Portadown2
Loughgall0
Dungannon4
Newry City2
Larne2
Linfield3
Semi-finals
Glenavon0
Portadown1
Dungannon1
Linfield2
Final
Portadown1
Linfield3