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Portuense vs AD Ceuta

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 game between Portuense and AD Ceuta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Portuense
15%
Draws
0%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Ceuta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Portuense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portuense Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuense AD Ceuta
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.94 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs AD Ceuta
2:1
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Portuense
4:1
Apr 19, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
AD Ceuta vs Portuense
5:1
Dec 7, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Portuense vs AD Ceuta
3:3
Jan 27, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Portuense vs AD Ceuta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuense 85 / 100
AD Ceuta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuense AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

AD Ceuta lost 5 of their last 5 games.

AD Ceuta let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Portuense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuense VS AD Ceuta
0.6 Goals Scored 1.38
0.4 Goals Conceded 1.25
40% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuense

(Home)
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
25 Aug
Portuense
0 : 2
Antoniano
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
28 Aug
Portuense
1 : 2
Rotena
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AD Ceuta

(Away)
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1
AD Ceuta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)