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Portuense vs Chiclana Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tamayo J.
16' Event
Marquez J.
27' Event
Olmo V.

AI Match Summary

Chiclana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiclana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Portuense
15%
Draws
37%
Chiclana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portuense lately — more wins on the board than Chiclana.
  • Win probability leans Portuense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Portuense Clean Sheet 68%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuense Chiclana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Chiclana
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamayo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olmo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Chiclana Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuense 68 / 100
Chiclana 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuense Chiclana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Portuense scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Chiclana let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Portuense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuense VS Chiclana
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuense

(Home)
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
25 Aug
Portuense
0 : 2
Antoniano
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Chiclana

(Away)
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
13 Sept
Cordoba B
0 : 0
Chiclana
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis C 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Dos Hermanas 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
3 Portuense 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
4 CD Utrera 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
5 Egabrense 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Chiclana 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Tomares UD 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 Pozoblanco 4 2 0 2 5:3 6
9 Linense 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Cadiz B 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
12 San Roque de Lepe 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Sevilla C 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 AD Ceuta B 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
16 Conil 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Bollullos 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
18 Cordoba B 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)