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Portuense vs San Roque de Lepe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Sanz R.
74' Event
Pena H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 game between Portuense and San Roque de Lepe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Portuense
20%
Draws
33%
San Roque de Lepe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Portuense haven't matched San Roque de Lepe's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portuense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portuense Clean Sheet 68%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuense San Roque de Lepe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs San Roque de Lepe
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Roque de Lepe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuense 77 / 100
San Roque de Lepe 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuense San Roque de Lepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuense found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

San Roque de Lepe has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Portuense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuense VS San Roque de Lepe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuense

(Home)
04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1
Portuense
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
Page 1 of 6

San Roque de Lepe

(Away)
04 Oct
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Betis C
27 Sept
Bollullos
1 : 2
San Roque de Lepe
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
4 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
5 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
6 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
7 Chiclana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Tomares UD 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
12 Conil 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
14 Sevilla C 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
16 AD Ceuta B 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
17 Bollullos 5 0 2 3 6:10 2
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)