Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal U16 W vs Netherlands U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U16 W play Netherlands U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal U16 W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Netherlands U16 W averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U16 W won 0, Netherlands U16 W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Portugal U16 W and 1.27 for Netherlands U16 W. This points to a Netherlands U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Portugal U16 W
16%
Draws
45%
Netherlands U16 W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Netherlands U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugal U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Netherlands U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.27 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Portugal U16 W Clean Sheet 19%
Netherlands U16 W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U16 W Netherlands U16 W
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.42 2.05
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Friendly International Women
Portugal U16 W vs Netherlands U16 W
1:1
Feb 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Portugal U16 W vs Netherlands U16 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Netherlands U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Ierland L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader el Belati O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U16 W 39 / 100
Netherlands U16 W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U16 W Netherlands U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Netherlands U16 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U16 W attacking → ← attacking Netherlands U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U16 W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Netherlands U16 W let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Portugal U16 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Netherlands U16 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 35
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.29
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.71