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Portugal U18 vs England U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2025 Municipal de Lousada, Lousada
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Derry J.
46'
Sub
Meireles A. In: Hamelberg E.
Out: Meireles A.
46'
Sub
Silva T. In: Marques R.
Out: Silva T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Portugal U18 and England U18 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Portugal U18
20%
Draws
42%
England U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Portugal U18 Clean Sheet 14%
England U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U18 England U18
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 23 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.25 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs England U18
0:1
Sep 4, 2024 Friendly International
England U18 vs Portugal U18
2:2
Sep 10, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs England U18
2:1
Jun 13, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs England U18
0:0
Nov 15, 2021 Friendly International
England U18 vs Portugal U18
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

England U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Derry J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U18 30 / 100
England U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U18 England U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U18 found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (36 games).

England U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Portugal U18 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U18 VS England U18
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U18

(Home)
02 Oct
Portugal U18
2 : 2
Romania U18
29 Sept
Portugal U18
2 : 0
Uzbekistan U18
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
28 Mar
Portugal U18
4 : 0
Iceland U19
25 Mar
Portugal U18
3 : 1
Morocco U18
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England U18

(Away)
03 Oct
England U18
0 : 2
Spain U18
30 Sept
South Korea U18
1 : 2
England U18
27 Sept
Egypt U18
1 : 2
England U18
24 Sept
England U18
3 : 2
Colombia U18
31 May
Cyprus U19
1 : 6
England U18
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