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Portugal U19 vs Wales U19

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Euro U19 2025 Belle Vue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U19 play Wales U19 in the Euro U19 2025. Portugal U19 are favorites here. Recently, Portugal U19 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Wales U19 averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U19 won 4, Wales U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Portugal U19 and 1.19 for Wales U19. This points to a Portugal U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Portugal U19
15%
Draws
26%
Wales U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Portugal U19 picked up more points recently compared to Wales U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Portugal U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Wales U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U19 Wales U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs Wales U19
1:0
Nov 12, 2014 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs Wales U19
2:1
May 30, 2014 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs Wales U19
3:2
Nov 3, 2009 Euro U19
Portugal U19 vs Wales U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Wales U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U19 57 / 100
Wales U19 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U19 Wales U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Portugal U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U19 attacking → ← attacking Wales U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U19 scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Wales U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Portugal U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wales U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 34
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Denmark U1933005:19
2Austria U1932017:46
3Hungary U1931022:43
4Iceland U1930031:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montenegro U1932105:27
2Poland U1932015:16
3Georgia U1931023:63
4Slovakia U1930121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U1932106:17
2Czech Republic U1932013:46
3Luxembourg U1931112:34
4Croatia U1930032:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U1933006:29
2Serbia U1931115:54
3Belgium U1931114:54
4Israel U1930035:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U1932108:47
2Italy U1931205:35
3France U1931023:53
4Latvia U1930123:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U1933005:19
2Slovenia U1931113:44
3Finland U1931025:43
4Ireland U1930121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U1932103:07
2Portugal U1931113:34
3Wales U1931023:43
4Turkey U1930213:52