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Portugal U20 vs Italy U20

Europe Europe

Elite League U20 2024/2025 Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ribeiro R.
24' Event
Vavassori D.
34'
Sub
Menegazzo L. In: Di Maggio L.
Out: Menegazzo L.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League U20 2024/2025 game between Portugal U20 and Italy U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portugal U20
6%
Draws
4%
Italy U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U20 come out ahead of Portugal U20 on wins alone.
  • Portugal U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Portugal U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U20 Italy U20
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 17 20
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Portugal U20
1:2
Oct 14, 2024 Elite League U20
Portugal U20 vs Italy U20
1:1
Nov 21, 2023 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Portugal U20
2:1
Sep 23, 2022 Elite League U20
Portugal U20 vs Italy U20
1:2
Oct 12, 2021 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Portugal U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Italy U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vavassori D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U20 85 / 100
Italy U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U20 Italy U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U20 scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Portugal U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Italy U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U20 VS Italy U20
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U20

(Home)
13 Jun
Portugal U20
2 : 0
Tunisia U23
11 Jun
Portugal U20
6 : 1
Canada U20
08 Jun
Venezuela U20
1 : 3
Portugal U20
06 Jun
Portugal U20
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U20
03 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 4
Portugal U20
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Italy U20

(Away)
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
17 Nov
Germany U20
5 : 0
Italy U20
14 Nov
Italy U20
1 : 2
Portugal U20
09 Oct
USA U20
3 : 0
Italy U20
04 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Italy U20
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