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Portugal U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Portugal U21 Logo

Portugal U21

5 - 0
FT
Azerbaijan U21 Logo

Azerbaijan U21

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Cabrayilzada H.
46'
Sub
Travassos D. In: Barroso L.
Out: Travassos D.
48' Event
Mora R.
Assist: Fernandes M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Portugal U21
30%
Draws
23%
Azerbaijan U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portugal U21 lately — more wins on the board than Azerbaijan U21.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portugal U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Azerbaijan U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 5
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.96 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.68 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Portugal U21
0:4
Sep 5, 2025 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
5:0
Sep 9, 2014 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
3:1
Oct 15, 2013 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Portugal U21
0:2
Sep 1, 1999 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Portugal U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quenda G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 95 / 100
Azerbaijan U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Azerbaijan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U21's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Azerbaijan U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Portugal U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U21 VS Azerbaijan U21
3.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

Azerbaijan U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 1
Czech Republic U21
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 8 7 0 1 27:4 21
2 Finland U21 8 6 1 1 28:3 19
3 Romania U21 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 8 6 1 1 29:2 19
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 3 1 16:4 15
3 Bulgaria U21 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 8 1 4 3 6:19 7
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Switzerland U21 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
3 Faroe Islands U21 8 4 0 4 8:14 12
4 Iceland U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
5 Luxembourg U21 7 1 1 5 7:19 4
6 Estonia U21 8 0 2 6 9:23 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
3 Ireland U21 8 4 2 2 9:10 14
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 8 1 1 6 6:14 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 8 7 0 1 26:4 21
2 Greece U21 8 7 0 1 24:4 21
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Georgia U21 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
5 Latvia U21 8 1 2 5 4:16 5
6 Malta U21 8 0 0 8 1:32 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Denmark U21 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)