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Portugal U21 vs Chile U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Bravo C.
30' Event
Silva T.
(Penalty)
36'
Fuentes C.

AI Match Summary

The Toulon Tournament 2014 game between Portugal U21 and Chile U21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Portugal U21
35%
Draws
15%
Chile U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Chile U21 haven't matched Portugal U21's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Portugal U21 taking it.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Chile U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Chile U21
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 22 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.94 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2014 Maurice Revello Tournament
Portugal U21 vs Chile U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Chile U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 95 / 100
Chile U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Chile U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U21's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Chile U21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 10 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Portugal U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U21 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 7

Chile U21

(Away)
01 Sept
France U21
1 : 1
Chile U21
27 May
Chile U21
2 : 2
Mexico U21
25 May
China U21
3 : 3
Chile U21
23 May
Portugal U21
3 : 1
Chile U21
21 May
France U21
3 : 0
Chile U21
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Portugal U21 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Mexico U21 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
4 China U21 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
5 Chile U21 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U21 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 England U21 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
3 South Korea U21 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
4 Colombia U21 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
5 Qatar U21 4 0 2 2 2:12 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)