Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal U21 vs Norway U21

World World

Friendly International 2023 Estádio do Varzim SC, Póvoa de Varzim
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Heggheim H.
33' Event
Sousa A.
46'
Sub
Esteves T. In: Malheiro P.
Out: Esteves T.

AI Match Summary

Portugal U21 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Portugal U21
15%
Draws
35%
Norway U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portugal U21 lately — more wins on the board than Norway U21.
  • Model gives Portugal U21 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portugal U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Norway U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.93 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Norway U21
3:0
Oct 9, 2020 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Norway U21
4:1
Nov 19, 2019 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Portugal U21
2:3
Mar 24, 2017 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Norway U21
3:1
Sep 4, 2014 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Portugal U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Norway U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 85 / 100
Norway U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Norway U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Portugal U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Norway U21 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U21 VS Norway U21
3.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U21

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

Norway U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
Page 1 of 6