Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal U21 vs Scotland U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U21 play Scotland U21 in the Euro U21. Portugal U21 are favorites here. Recently, Portugal U21 averaged 2.82 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Scotland U21 averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U21 won 3, Scotland U21 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Portugal U21 and 1.50 for Scotland U21. This points to a Portugal U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Portugal U21
15%
Draws
27%
Scotland U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Portugal U21 picked up more points recently compared to Scotland U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Scotland U21
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 23 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.82 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Scotland U21
3:0
Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Portugal U21
0:2
Nov 14, 2012 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Scotland U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roger
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banjaqui D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Scotland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 55 / 100
Scotland U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Scotland U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Portugal U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U21 attacking → ← attacking Scotland U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U21 scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Scotland U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Portugal U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scotland U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 42
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94