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Portugal vs France

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 Volksparkstadion
Fri, Jul 5, 2024
0 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

67'
Sub
Griezmann A. In: Dembele O.
Out: Griezmann A.
74'
Sub
Cancelo J. In: Semedo N.
Out: Cancelo J.
74'
Sub
Fernandes B. In: Conceicao F.
Out: Fernandes B.

AI Match Summary

France in this Euro 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Portugal
28%
Draws
50%
France
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Portugal haven't matched France's recent run of results.
  • Model gives France a 50% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Portugal Clean Sheet 14%
France Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal France
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2024 Euro
Portugal vs France
0:1
Jun 23, 2021 Euro
Portugal vs France
2:2
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Portugal vs France
0:1
Oct 11, 2020 UEFA Nations League
France vs Portugal
0:0
Jul 10, 2016 Euro
Portugal vs France
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal 23 / 100
France 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal France

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Portugal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

France has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Portugal VS France
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spain4
Georgia1
Germany2
Denmark0
Portugal1
Slovenia0
France1
Belgium0
Romania0
Netherlands3
Austria1
Turkey2
England2
Slovakia1
Switzerland2
Italy0
Quarter-finals
Spain2
Germany1
Portugal0
France1
Netherlands2
Turkey1
England2
Switzerland1
Semi-finals
Spain2
France1
Netherlands1
England2
Final
Spain2
England1