Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 NRG Stadium

Match Events

Ronaldo C.

Assist: Cancelo J.

14'

Khamrobekov O.

17'

Mendes N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal play Uzbekistan in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Uzbekistan averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal won 1, Uzbekistan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 23, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Portugal and 1.13 for Uzbekistan. This points to a Portugal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Portugal

Draws

Uzbekistan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Portugal has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Uzbekistan.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Portugal.
League standings and seasonal metrics in World Championship 2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Portugal Clean Sheet 68%

Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal	Uzbekistan
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	19	16
Draws	6	7
Losses	5	7
Goals Scored	2.63	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 World Championship

Portugal vs Uzbekistan

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Mendes N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Uzbekistan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal 95 / 100

Uzbekistan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal Uzbekistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Uzbekistan let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Portugal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal VS Uzbekistan

2.63 Goals Scored 1.75

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6:0	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2:3	4
3	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2:3	3
4	Czech Republic	3	0	1	2	2:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7:3	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8:3	4
3	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7:1	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6:3	7
3	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1:4	3
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8:4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2:4	4
4	Turkey	3	1	0	2	3:5	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10:4	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4:2	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Curacao	3	0	1	2	1:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10:4	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7:3	5
3	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7:7	4
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6:2	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
3	Iran	3	0	3	0	3:3	3
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5:0	7
2	Cape Verde	3	0	3	0	2:2	3
3	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3:4	2
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10:2	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8:7	6
3	Senegal	3	1	2	8:6	3
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6:6	4
3	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5:7	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6:1	5
3	D.R. Congo	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5:5	6
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0:4	0