Sport Picks
Portugalete vs Arosa SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 
Match Events
21'
21'
Gonzalez A.
47'
47'
Arreitunandia A.
50'
50'
Gabri Palmas
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Portugalete and Arosa SC finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arosa SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Arosa SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 16%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portugalete | Arosa SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Portugalete vs Arosa SC
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portugalete Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arreitunandia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Arosa SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabri Palmas
1 Goals Assists Leader Morante D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portugalete 36 / 100
Arosa SC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portugalete Arosa SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portugalete found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Arosa SC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Portugalete went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portugalete VS Arosa SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Portugalete
(Home) 01 Nov
Portugalete
3 : 3 Arosa SC
25 Oct
Basconia
2 : 2 Portugalete
17 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 0 Eibar B
10 Oct
Amorebieta
1 : 2 Portugalete
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2 Alaves B
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Portugalete
3 : 3 Arosa SC
17 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 0 Eibar B
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2 Alaves B
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1 Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0 Compostela
Page 1 of 3
Arosa SC
(Away) 01 Nov
Portugalete
3 : 3 Arosa SC
27 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 0 Pontevedra
24 Oct
Sestao
1 : 0 Arosa SC
18 Oct
Arosa SC
4 : 1 Llanera
11 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 2 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Portugalete
3 : 3 Arosa SC
24 Oct
Sestao
1 : 0 Arosa SC
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0 Arosa SC
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2 Arosa SC
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2 Arosa SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Bergantinos | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Eibar B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Amorebieta | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 6 | Compostela | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Ourense CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Portugalete | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Gernika Club | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Basconia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 | Coruxo FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Arosa SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15:20 | 8 |
| 14 | Rayo Cantabria | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Marino De Luanco | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Atletico Astorga | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 17 | Llanera | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:19 | 5 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)
