Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugalete vs CD Villanueva

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugalete in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Portugalete
20%
Draws
38%
CD Villanueva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Villanueva haven't matched Portugalete's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Portugalete a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Portugalete have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portugalete, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 20%
CD Villanueva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete CD Villanueva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Portugalete vs CD Villanueva
1:0
May 24, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
CD Villanueva vs Portugalete
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 42 / 100
CD Villanueva 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete CD Villanueva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugalete scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: CD Villanueva conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Portugalete stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
09 May
Alaves C
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
25 Apr
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
17 Apr
Portugalete
4 : 2
Eibar C
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

CD Villanueva

(Away)
09 May
CD Villanueva
1 : 3
Sabinanigo
01 May
La Muela
2 : 1
CD Villanueva
25 Apr
CD Villanueva
1 : 1
Sarinena
23 Apr
Fraga
1 : 3
CD Villanueva
18 Apr
CD Villanueva
3 : 2
UD Barbastro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Reus FC Reddis2
Sangonera3
Velez1
Toledo2
Langreo2
UD Barbastro4
Castillo CF0
Barcelona B6
UD Almansa4
Mallorca B1
Atletico Monzon2
Ciudad Santiago3
Amurrio Club2
Lalin2
CD Calahorra2
CD San Fernando2
CD Villanueva2
Portugalete1
Iruna0
Rayo Cantabria2
RSD Alcala2
C. Reyes2
Coruxo FC2
Alzira4
Jerez CF1
CD Ciempozuelos5
La Nucia2
Las Palmas B3
Teruel4
Villarrobledo1
Catarroja CF2
Roquetas3
Caravaca6
Real Oviedo5
Naron1
Antequera4
Tudelano5
Alfaro3
Real Murcia B1
Puerto Real CF0
Arandina2
SD Ejea1
Haro Deportivo1
Sant Andreu2
Santboia1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega1
Real Avila3
Valencia B3
Galdar2
Gernika Club4
Universidad Oviedo2
Baleares3
Villanovense3
Gimnastica Segoviana2
Tomelloso2
Ciudad de Lorqu3
Granada Atletico Club de Futbol1
Navalcarnero2
UM Escobedo2
Atletico Granadilla2
Linense2
Anguiano2
Santanyi0
Mirandes3
Pena Deportiva3
Mutilvera1
CD Mostoles1
Don Benito3
Zamudio4
Izarra1
SD Noja3
Gijon B3
Final
Sangonera3
Toledo2
UD Barbastro0
Barcelona B3
UD Almansa4
Ciudad Santiago5
Amurrio Club0
CD San Fernando3
CD Villanueva1
Rayo Cantabria5
RSD Alcala0
Alzira1
CD Ciempozuelos2
Las Palmas B3
Teruel2
Roquetas3
Caravaca1
Antequera2
Tudelano3
Real Murcia B6
Arandina0
Sant Andreu5
Santboia1
Valencia B3
Gernika Club0
Baleares2
Villanovense1
Ciudad de Lorqu4
Navalcarnero3
Atletico Granadilla1
Linense4
Mirandes4
Pena Deportiva1
Don Benito0
Zamudio0
Gijon B3