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Portugalete vs Eibar B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugalete host Eibar B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Eibar B have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Portugalete have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor Portugalete slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2012, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Portugalete. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portugalete
15%
Draws
54%
Eibar B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eibar B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Eibar B haven't matched Portugalete's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Eibar B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 20%
Eibar B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete Eibar B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar B vs Portugalete
0:4
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Eibar B
1:1
Mar 26, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar B vs Portugalete
0:1
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Eibar B
1:0
Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Eibar B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 10 / 100
Eibar B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete Eibar B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugalete found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Eibar B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Portugalete went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS Eibar B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

Eibar B

(Away)
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5
Eibar B
27 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Compostela
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
7 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)